mien
Tournament Banned
Those who use multi-hit moves such as Bullet Seed may have noticed it already, they land critical hits more often then regular attacks. However since these critical hits are limited to one particular hit only the damage increase is disproportionally lower. As a result unlike regular moves, critical hits should be included when attempting to calculate the full potential damage of the multi-hit move. The increase in damage is easy to determine, every critical hit has the same power as 2 individual hits. For example a Breloom landing one Critical hit when hitting 4 times with Bullet Seed has the same damage output as if it would land 5 hits.
However determining the odds of landing one or more critical hits is far more difficult. That is why i've decided to do the calculations myself and post the results here as a reference for those who are interested.
Essentially what you are seeing here are the odds of having one particular ammount basepower everytime you use one of the listed moves with critical hits taken into account.
Bone Rush/Bullet Seed/Icicle Spear/Rock Blast/Sweep Slap's basepower (exact not at least!)
50 Basepower: 29.297%
2 consecutive hits 0 critical hits
75 Basepower: 31.372%
3 consecutive hits 0 critical hits + 2 consecutive hits 1 critical
100 Basepower: 18.495%
4 consecutive hits 0 critical hits + 3 consecutive hits 1 critical + 2 consecutive hits 2 critical
125 Basepower: 15.762%
5 consecutive hits 0 critical hits + 4 consecutive hits 1 critical + 3 consecutive hits 2 critical
150 Basepower: 4.374%
5 consecutive hits 1 critical hits + 4 consecutive hits 2 critical + 3 consecutive hits 3 critical
175 Basepower: 0.551%
5 consecutive hits 2 critical hits + 4 consecutive hits 3 critical
200 Basepower: 0.143%
5 consecutive hits 3 critical hits + 4 consecutive hits 4 critical
225 Basepower: 0.001%
5 consecutive hits 4 critical hits
250 Basepower: 0.0000158%
5 consecutive hits 5 critical hits
For pokemon with the ability Skill Link like Cloyster using Icicle Spear.
125 Base power: 72,458%
5 consecutive hits 0 critical hits
150 Base power: 24.14%
5 consecutive hits 1 critical hits
175 Base power: 3.18%
5 consecutive hits 2 critical hits
200 Base power: 0.215%
5 consecutive hits 3 critical hits
225 Base power: 0.007%
5 consecutive hits 4 critical hits
250 Base power: 0.000095%
5 consecutive hits 5 critical hits
For those who need to know what the odds are to do at least a certain ammount of damage, simply subtract all BP ammounts you don't need from 100%.
For example the chance of hitting with at least 100BP with Bullet seed is 100% - 29.297% - 31.372% = 39.331%
Or for Cloysters Icicle Spear hitting with at least 150 BP: 100% - 72,458 = 27.542%
However determining the odds of landing one or more critical hits is far more difficult. That is why i've decided to do the calculations myself and post the results here as a reference for those who are interested.
Essentially what you are seeing here are the odds of having one particular ammount basepower everytime you use one of the listed moves with critical hits taken into account.
Bone Rush/Bullet Seed/Icicle Spear/Rock Blast/Sweep Slap's basepower (exact not at least!)
50 Basepower: 29.297%
2 consecutive hits 0 critical hits
75 Basepower: 31.372%
3 consecutive hits 0 critical hits + 2 consecutive hits 1 critical
100 Basepower: 18.495%
4 consecutive hits 0 critical hits + 3 consecutive hits 1 critical + 2 consecutive hits 2 critical
125 Basepower: 15.762%
5 consecutive hits 0 critical hits + 4 consecutive hits 1 critical + 3 consecutive hits 2 critical
150 Basepower: 4.374%
5 consecutive hits 1 critical hits + 4 consecutive hits 2 critical + 3 consecutive hits 3 critical
175 Basepower: 0.551%
5 consecutive hits 2 critical hits + 4 consecutive hits 3 critical
200 Basepower: 0.143%
5 consecutive hits 3 critical hits + 4 consecutive hits 4 critical
225 Basepower: 0.001%
5 consecutive hits 4 critical hits
250 Basepower: 0.0000158%
5 consecutive hits 5 critical hits
For pokemon with the ability Skill Link like Cloyster using Icicle Spear.
125 Base power: 72,458%
5 consecutive hits 0 critical hits
150 Base power: 24.14%
5 consecutive hits 1 critical hits
175 Base power: 3.18%
5 consecutive hits 2 critical hits
200 Base power: 0.215%
5 consecutive hits 3 critical hits
225 Base power: 0.007%
5 consecutive hits 4 critical hits
250 Base power: 0.000095%
5 consecutive hits 5 critical hits
For those who need to know what the odds are to do at least a certain ammount of damage, simply subtract all BP ammounts you don't need from 100%.
For example the chance of hitting with at least 100BP with Bullet seed is 100% - 29.297% - 31.372% = 39.331%
Or for Cloysters Icicle Spear hitting with at least 150 BP: 100% - 72,458 = 27.542%